7th November 2002
Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office
This survey was conducted on September 25, using a sample of 4,561 companies capitalized at 100 million yen or more, of which 92.7% percent responded.
(Table 1) BSI on domestic economic conditions on an all-Industry basis
(Seasonally
adjusted ;%) |
|
|
|
|
|
BSI |
|
|
(A) |
(B) |
(C) |
(D) |
1984 |
Apr.-Jun. |
38 |
59 |
3 |
35 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
37 |
58 |
5 |
32 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
35 |
63 |
2 |
33 |
1985 |
Jan.-Mar. |
28 |
72 |
0 |
28 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
21 |
74 |
5 |
16 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
12 |
77 |
11 |
1 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
5 |
71 |
24 |
-19 |
1986 |
Jan.-Mar. |
5 |
58 |
37 |
-32 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
4 |
53 |
43 |
-39 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
3 |
48 |
49 |
-46 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
2 |
54 |
44 |
-42 |
1987 |
Jan.-Mar. |
4 |
61 |
35 |
-31 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
7 |
74 |
19 |
-12 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
27 |
65 |
8 |
19 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
37 |
59 |
4 |
33 |
1988 |
Jan.-Mar. |
46 |
53 |
1 |
45 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
44 |
54 |
2 |
42 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
35 |
60 |
5 |
30 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
34 |
65 |
1 |
33 |
1989 |
Jan.-Mar. |
32 |
68 |
0 |
32 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
26 |
69 |
5 |
21 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
24 |
70 |
6 |
18 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
28 |
72 |
0 |
28 |
1990 |
Jan.-Mar. |
21 |
79 |
0 |
21 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
16 |
78 |
6 |
10 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
13 |
79 |
8 |
5 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
8 |
83 |
9 |
-1 |
1991 |
Jan.-Mar. |
7 |
78 |
15 |
-8 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
6 |
74 |
20 |
-14 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
3 |
71 |
26 |
-23 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
2 |
47 |
51 |
-49 |
1992 |
Jan.-Mar. |
2 |
33 |
65 |
-63 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
1 |
42 |
57 |
-56 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
0 |
37 |
63 |
-63 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
1 |
48 |
51 |
-50 |
1993 |
Jan.-Mar. |
2 |
48 |
50 |
-48 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
6 |
67 |
27 |
-21 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
0 |
61 |
39 |
-39 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
1 |
52 |
47 |
-46 |
1994 |
Jan.-Mar. |
3 |
75 |
22 |
-19 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
7 |
78 |
15 |
-8 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
22 |
72 |
6 |
16 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
25 |
73 |
2 |
23 |
1995 |
Jan.-Mar. |
13 |
76 |
11 |
2 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
8 |
75 |
17 |
-9 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
5 |
81 |
14 |
-9 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
9 |
86 |
5 |
4 |
1996 |
Jan.-Mar. |
17 |
80 |
3 |
14 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
23 |
72 |
5 |
18 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
12 |
84 |
4 |
8 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
13 |
84 |
3 |
10 |
1997 |
Jan.-Mar. |
15 |
79 |
6 |
9 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
6 |
70 |
24 |
-18 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
6 |
82 |
12 |
-6 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
2 |
48 |
50 |
-48 |
1998 |
Jan.-Mar. |
1 |
49 |
50 |
-49 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
0 |
42 |
58 |
-58 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
0 |
39 |
61 |
-61 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
1 |
58 |
41 |
-40 |
1999 |
Jan.-Mar. |
3 |
72 |
25 |
-22 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
5 |
81 |
14 |
-9 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
12 |
82 |
6 |
6 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
13 |
81 |
6 |
7 |
2000 |
Jan.-Mar. |
12 |
83 |
5 |
7 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
14 |
79 |
7 |
7 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
18 |
80 |
2 |
16 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
10 |
82 |
8 |
2 |
2001 |
Jan.-Mar. |
4 |
60 |
36 |
-32 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
0 |
56 |
44 |
-44 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
0 |
40 |
60 |
-60 |
|
Oct.-Dec. |
2 |
39 |
59 |
-57 |
2002 |
Jan.-Mar. |
3 |
56 |
41 |
-38 |
|
Apr.-Jun. |
6 |
74 |
20 |
-14 |
|
Jul.-Sep. |
1 |
76 |
23 |
-22 |
|
Oct.-Dec.(E) |
5 |
75 |
20 |
-15 |
2003 |
Jan.-Mar.(E) |
13 |
73 |
14 |
-1 |
- (Note)
-
(A) The percentage of companies saying that domestic economic conditions are rising compared with the previous quarter.
(B) The percentage of companies saying that domestic economic conditions are unchanged.
(C) The percentage of companies saying that domestic economic conditions are declining compered with the previos quarter.
(D) (D)=(A)-(C) , BSI : Business Survey Index .
(E) Companies answered economic conditions of next two consecutive quarters.Thus the BSI figures of Oct.-Dec. of 2002 and Jan.-Mar.of 2003 are outlook.
(Table 2) Capital spending plan for FY2002
(100 million yen,%) |
|
FY2000 |
FY2001 |
FY2002 |
FY2000 |
FY2001 |
FY2002 |
|
(Actual) |
(Actual) |
(Plan) |
(Actual) |
(Actual) |
(Plan) |
All Industries |
430,980 |
409,971 |
376,889 |
2.6 |
-4.9 |
-8.1 |
Manufacturing |
147,304 |
132,707 |
113,689 |
7.7 |
-9.9 |
-14.3 |
Basic materials |
38,789 |
40,769 |
32,444 |
-1.9 |
5.1 |
-20.4 |
Textiles |
1,958 |
1,958 |
1,703 |
-18.8 |
0.0 |
-13.0 |
Paper and paper products |
3,297 |
3,224 |
2,400 |
10.3 |
-2.2 |
-25.6 |
Chemicals and chemical
products |
15,334 |
16,528 |
14,437 |
-1.7 |
7.8 |
-12.7 |
Petroleum and coal
products |
1,493 |
1,827 |
1,477 |
-34.2 |
22.4 |
-19.1 |
Rubber and leather
products |
839 |
705 |
549 |
-4.5 |
-16.0 |
-22.2 |
Nonmetallic mineral
products |
4,733 |
4,502 |
3,394 |
5.1 |
-4.9 |
-24.6 |
Iron and steel |
5,504 |
6,253 |
3,975 |
-10.5 |
13.6 |
-36.4 |
Non-ferrous metals |
5,631 |
5,772 |
4,509 |
19.4 |
2.5 |
-21.9 |
Processing |
108,516 |
91,939 |
81,246 |
11.6 |
-15.3 |
-11.6 |
Food and beverages |
10,622 |
11,476 |
11,337 |
-0.9 |
8.0 |
-1.2 |
Fabricated metal products |
3,850 |
3,363 |
2,664 |
0.8 |
-12.7 |
-20.8 |
General machinery |
6,131 |
6,890 |
5,248 |
-5.1 |
12.4 |
-23.8 |
Electrical machinery |
51,739 |
32,403 |
25,522 |
36.1 |
-37.4 |
-21.2 |
Automobiles |
14,451 |
14,923 |
15,193 |
-2.3 |
3.3 |
1.8 |
Other transport equipment |
1,664 |
1,461 |
875 |
-29.1 |
-12.2 |
-40.1 |
Precision Instruments |
4,405 |
3,684 |
3,496 |
27.1 |
-16.4 |
-5.1 |
Other manufacturing |
15,653 |
17,739 |
16,910 |
-11.3 |
13.3 |
-4.7 |
Non-manufacturing |
283,676 |
277,264 |
263,199 |
0.1 |
-2.3 |
-5.1 |
Agriculture,forestry and
fishing |
212 |
118 |
164 |
91.6 |
-44.4 |
39.2 |
Mining |
792 |
769 |
661 |
-0.7 |
-2.8 |
-14.0 |
Construction |
3,585 |
3,339 |
3,386 |
-18.2 |
-6.9 |
1.4 |
Wholesaling |
10,772 |
11,531 |
11,411 |
13.1 |
7.1 |
-1.0 |
Retail trade,and eating and drinking places |
18,109 |
13,899 |
13,506 |
8.6 |
-23.3 |
-2.8 |
Finance and Insurance |
16,720 |
20,155 |
19,641 |
10.8 |
20.5 |
-2.6 |
Real estate |
18,379 |
18,981 |
21,472 |
8.5 |
3.3 |
13.1 |
Transportation |
19,570 |
20,937 |
24,609 |
-22.1 |
7.0 |
17.5 |
Communications |
29,786 |
28,056 |
29,075 |
-5.2 |
-5.8 |
3.6 |
Electric and gas
utilities |
37,991 |
34,229 |
30,014 |
-22.0 |
-9.9 |
-12.3 |
Services |
41,044 |
37,207 |
24,309 |
22.6 |
-9.3 |
-34.7 |
Leasing |
86,717 |
88,042 |
84,951 |
6.8 |
1.5 |
-3.5 |
(Table 3) Capital spending on a half-year basis
(100 million yen,%) |
|
|
All Industries |
Manufacturing |
Non-manufacturing |
All Industries |
Manufacturing |
Non-manufacturing |
FY1984 |
Apr.-Sep. |
103,856 |
47,683 |
56,173 |
- |
- |
- |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
115,424 |
51,186 |
64,237 |
- |
- |
- |
FY1985 |
Apr.-Sep. |
123,728 |
53,103 |
70,625 |
19.1 |
11.4 |
25.7 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
129,083 |
53,620 |
75,463 |
11.8 |
4.8 |
17.5 |
FY1986 |
Apr.-Sep. |
123,466 |
51,370 |
72,096 |
-0.2 |
-3.3 |
2.1 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
131,275 |
47,057 |
84,219 |
1.7 |
-12.2 |
11.6 |
FY1987 |
Apr.-Sep. |
128,628 |
48,538 |
80,090 |
4.2 |
-5.5 |
11.1 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
153,152 |
56,574 |
96,578 |
16.7 |
20.2 |
14.7 |
FY1988 |
Apr.-Sep. |
160,738 |
62,614 |
98,124 |
25.0 |
29.0 |
22.5 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
196,233 |
75,606 |
120,626 |
28.1 |
33.6 |
24.9 |
FY1989 |
Apr.-Sep. |
196,649 |
78,898 |
117,751 |
22.3 |
26.0 |
20.0 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
236,103 |
89,611 |
146,492 |
20.3 |
18.5 |
21.4 |
FY1990 |
Apr.-Sep. |
233,893 |
96,682 |
137,211 |
18.9 |
22.5 |
16.5 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
254,659 |
102,996 |
151,663 |
7.9 |
14.9 |
3.5 |
FY1991 |
Apr.-Sep. |
250,402 |
102,636 |
147,766 |
7.1 |
6.2 |
7.7 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
266,047 |
103,649 |
162,398 |
4.5 |
0.6 |
7.1 |
FY1992 |
Apr.-Sep. |
242,000 |
92,361 |
149,639 |
-3.4 |
-10.0 |
1.3 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
247,844 |
86,480 |
161,363 |
-6.8 |
-16.6 |
-0.6 |
FY1993 |
Apr.-Sep. |
209,342 |
70,704 |
138,639 |
-13.5 |
-23.4 |
-7.4 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
223,722 |
72,957 |
150,765 |
-9.7 |
-15.6 |
-6.6 |
FY1994 |
Apr.-Sep. |
200,748 |
61,232 |
139,516 |
-4.1 |
-13.4 |
0.6 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
207,472 |
61,704 |
145,769 |
-7.3 |
-15.4 |
-3.3 |
FY1995 |
Apr.-Sep. |
196,564 |
64,272 |
132,291 |
-2.1 |
5.0 |
-5.2 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
218,970 |
69,197 |
149,774 |
5.5 |
12.1 |
2.7 |
FY1996 |
Apr.-Sep. |
210,427 |
69,908 |
140,519 |
7.1 |
8.8 |
6.2 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
237,700 |
77,991 |
159,709 |
8.6 |
12.7 |
6.6 |
FY1997 |
Apr.-Sep. |
219,677 |
75,670 |
144,006 |
4.4 |
8.2 |
2.5 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
231,289 |
83,503 |
147,786 |
-2.7 |
7.1 |
-7.5 |
FY1998 |
Apr.-Sep. |
211,398 |
74,109 |
137,289 |
-3.8 |
-2.1 |
-4.7 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
215,576 |
75,047 |
140,529 |
-6.8 |
-10.1 |
-4.9 |
FY1999 |
Apr.-Sep. |
198,977 |
67,205 |
131,772 |
-5.9 |
-9.3 |
-4.0 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
221,263 |
69,595 |
151,668 |
2.6 |
-7.3 |
7.9 |
FY2000 |
Apr.-Sep. |
197,935 |
68,733 |
129,201 |
-0.5 |
2.3 |
-2.0 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
233,046 |
78,571 |
154,475 |
5.3 |
12.9 |
1.9 |
FY2001 |
Apr.-Sep. |
197,408 |
67,961 |
129,447 |
-0.3 |
-1.1 |
0.2 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
212,563 |
64,746 |
147,817 |
-8.8 |
-17.6 |
-4.3 |
FY2002 |
Apr.-Sep. |
177,678 |
56,195 |
121,483 |
-10.0 |
-17.3 |
-6.2 |
|
Oct.-Mar. |
199,210 |
57,494 |
141,716 |
-6.3 |
-11.2 |
-4.1 |
Contact
- For further details
- Please contact the Department of Business Statistics, Economic and Social Research Institute, Cabinet Office.